BFA vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+351%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
9º
34
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 5
NEP
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAB
3 - 1
BFA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 1
MIN
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FHL
4 - 0
SIA
27%
23%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FHL
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
FHL
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
2 - 0
FKB
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
3 - 3
FKT
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +3 |