BFA vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3474%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFA
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 5
NEP
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BAB
3 - 1
BFA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 1
MIN
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FHL
4 - 0
SIA
27%
23%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FHL
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
FHL
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
2 - 0
FKB
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
3 - 3
FKT
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |