BFA vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+147%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
9º
44
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FKB
1 - 2
BFA
23%
22%
55%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
3 - 2
FHL
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BFA
0 - 5
NEP
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 3
SIA
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
PAN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
FKT
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
FHL
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |