BFA vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FKK
3 - 2
BFA
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
BFA
1 - 2
DAI
8%
12%
80%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
BFA
1 - 2
DTE
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
VIV
4 - 2
BFA
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
FKS
2 - 3
BFA
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
ATM
3 - 2
TRA
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
ZAL
3 - 0
ATM
70%
15%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
PAN
0 - 0
ATM
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2020 |
DAI
3 - 0
ATM
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |