Balona Conquense vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balona Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
BCO
82%
12%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BCO
1 - 2
MUN
34%
23%
43%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DBA
3 - 1
BCO
82%
12%
7%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BCO
0 - 2
BON
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
3 - 1
BCO
64%
21%
16%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HIG
2 - 1
CAS
55%
20%
24%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
OMA
41%
24%
35%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
CAS
56%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
CMG
11%
17%
71%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |