Balmaseda FC vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
BFC
67%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SES
0 - 1
BFC
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 1
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 1
DEU
38%
24%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
IKE
1 - 1
TOL
26%
23%
52%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 3
JUV
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 3
RSO
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |