Balmaseda FC vs Aurrera KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balmaseda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SFC
0 - 0
BFC
46%
26%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 1
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DEU
1 - 1
BFC
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 0
PAS
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
BFC
64%
22%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
CDU
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CDV
3 - 0
AUR
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BEA
1 - 1
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
SFC
42%
28%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
4 - 0
AUR
66%
18%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |