Balma vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
12º
29
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROD
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 3
TOU
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
USJ
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 1
SAM
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 4
BEA
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 0
SAM
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |