Balma vs Union Saint-Jean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
12º
20
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FBP
4 - 3
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEA
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
BAL
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 4
AGD
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
USJ
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 0
FBP
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 1
USJ
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
3 - 1
ONE
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 0
USJ
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |