Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
12º
55
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FBP
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USJ
2 - 2
BAL
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
ONE
37%
24%
40%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
USJ
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
AGD
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |