Balma vs Sporting Toulon Var II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAB
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NIM
1 - 1
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAS
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AUB
2 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCT
2 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
63%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
SCT
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SCT
1 - 1
FUR
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ROD
2 - 0
SCT
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SCT
1 - 3
SCR
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |