Balma vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AGD
3 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
MUR
27%
24%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ROD
0 - 2
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 2
BLA
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 0
BAL
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 0
CRF
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ROD
2 - 2
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 3
FAB
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 1
AGD
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 0
TAR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |