Balma vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
ANG
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 1
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
BLA
42%
27%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAL
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 3
MON
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
PAU
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
LIM
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 2
PAU
29%
23%
47%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LES
2 - 3
PAU
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |