Balma vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
2 - 4
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
ROD
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
FCA
4 - 0
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
NIM
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOU
1 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 0
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
NAR
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 0
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCA
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NIM
1 - 2
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |