Balma vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAL
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
ROD
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
BAL
56%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 1
ROD
39%
23%
39%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
NAR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 1
BLA
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AGD
2 - 1
NAR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 4
CRF
19%
19%
63%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |