Balma vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIM
1 - 2
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
42%
29%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 1
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
LES
40%
28%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
26%
22%
53%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
MON
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MON
6 - 1
LEG
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LES
0 - 1
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |