Balma vs Luzenac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
65.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NIM
1 - 1
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ROD
2 - 3
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 3
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzenac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 1
ROD
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LUZ
13%
23%
64%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BLA
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUZ
10%
21%
69%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LUZ
0 - 2
OLY
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |