Balma vs Furiani Agliani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ROD
3 - 3
BAL
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 0
SCT
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
FAB
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NIM
1 - 1
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Furiani Agliani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
1 - 0
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
FUR
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
2 - 1
SCR
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FUR
2 - 2
ROD
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SCT
1 - 1
FUR
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |