Balma vs Bagnols-Pont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
12º
16
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USJ
2 - 2
BAL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
ONE
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEZ
7%
18%
76%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 3
USJ
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 1
COL
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
4 - 0
FBP
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FBP
3 - 3
ONE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |