Balma vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
OLY
19%
24%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
BAL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NAR
52%
26%
23%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
NAR
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 0
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
FCA
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |