Balma vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NIM
1 - 1
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ROD
2 - 3
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 3
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 2
OLY
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 5
ROD
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
BLA
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AGD
2 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 1
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -3 |