Balma vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
BAL
28%
23%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
OLY
4 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
SAM
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 0
BEA
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
FAB
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
NAR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 4
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 2
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 2
BLA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
3 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |