Balma vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TOU
6 - 1
BAL
41%
25%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 0
OLY
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
ROD
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 0
BLA
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BLA
0 - 3
NIM
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
BLA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ASB
2 - 1
BLA
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -3 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 0
BLA
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |