Balma vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
AGD
3 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LUZ
4 - 3
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
OLY
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CRF
2 - 1
BAL
60%
20%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
FAB
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 1
ROD
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NIM
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 0
BLA
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |