Balma vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
AUR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
AUR
29%
27%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LEG
2 - 0
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BLA
0 - 0
FAB
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
1 - 0
BLA
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
NIM
30%
27%
43%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAL
36%
28%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |