Balma vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ANG
4 - 3
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
LEG
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
SAI
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LES
1 - 1
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
ANG
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BER
5 - 0
BAY
51%
26%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |