Balma vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NIM
0 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
TOU
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
BAL
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
BER
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
TOU
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 0
BER
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
62%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
BER
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -2 |