Balma vs Auch Football analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 2
BAL
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 3
SAI
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LES
1 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
MON
49%
26%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auch Football
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 2
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BER
3 - 0
AUC
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
0 - 3
AUR
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 1
NAR
32%
26%
43%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 3
AUC
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |