Balma U17 vs SA Merignac U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
7º
31
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NIM
3 - 1
BAL
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 3
BAL
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GIG
1 - 2
BAL
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MNT
1 - 0
BAL
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SA Merignac U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
GIG
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 3
MER
58%
20%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
JTS
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MNT
4 - 0
MER
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
GIG
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |