Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-6
Ballymena United vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
FVF
3 - 0
BAL
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BAL
2 - 1
FVF
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
0 - 3
KSK
43%
24%
32%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
KSK
3 - 0
BAL
68%
18%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
TOR
57%
26%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1981 |
JUV
0 - 1
ROM
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |