Ballymena United vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
COL
35%
24%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 4
BAL
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
5 - 0
ARC
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |