Ballymena United vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
15%
18%
68%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
POR
3 - 2
DUN
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
POR
3 - 2
HAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
38%
25%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
POR
5 - 1
ABV
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | 0 |