Ballymena United vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
COL
35%
24%
42%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 2
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
18%
25%
58%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
LAR
17%
25%
59%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |