Ballymena United vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 3
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARD
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 1
BAL
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 4
BAL
24%
24%
53%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIN
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
NEW
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARD
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |