Ballymena United vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 1
LCE
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAL
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 3
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 3
CRU
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 5
BAL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
POR
4 - 2
LIS
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
LIS
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |