Ballymena United vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 2
GLE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIN
8%
20%
73%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |