Ballymena United vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
12º
11º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOU
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CLI
3 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
5 - 0
GLE
60%
20%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
NEW
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |