Ballymena United vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
12º
11º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
COL
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 2
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
3 - 5
LAR
14%
19%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |