NIFL Premiership Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-1
Ballymena United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 4
INS
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |