Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Ballymena United vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
ROM
4 - 0
BAL
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROM
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
FVF
3 - 0
BAL
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
BAL
2 - 1
FVF
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
0 - 3
KSK
43%
24%
32%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
DUN
3 - 0
HAM
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
HAM
0 - 3
DUN
11%
19%
71%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |