Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
9º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
18%
21%
62%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
BAL
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
14%
21%
64%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
ARD
33%
22%
45%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DUN
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
76%
16%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |