Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
HAR
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
DUN
47%
23%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 2
WAR
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
CRU
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |