Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 3
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LIS
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 1
LCE
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAL
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
2 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
POR
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
COA
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |