Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
LIS
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
DCC
89%
8%
2%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
DON
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 2
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |