Ballymena United vs Derriaghy CC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derriaghy CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
DCC
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
QUB
0 - 2
DCC
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DCC
1 - 0
BUF
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |