Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
12º
11º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAL
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 0
BAL
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOU
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
47%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |