Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
LIN
27%
22%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
GLE
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BAL
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 2
CLI
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 4
CRU
13%
17%
70%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 3
CLI
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |