Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
GLE
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 1
CRU
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 2
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |