Ballymena United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
DON
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
GLE
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 2
BAL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NFC
87%
10%
4%
|
66 | 12 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
CRU
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |