Ballymena United vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
12º
11º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIN
4 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COL
3 - 2
LOU
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
GLE
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |