Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
6º
4º
41
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
GLE
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
CAR
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
DUN
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |